The Resource Analysis of variability and uncertainty in wind power forecasting : an international comparison : preprint, J. Zhang [and ten others]

Analysis of variability and uncertainty in wind power forecasting : an international comparison : preprint, J. Zhang [and ten others]

Label
Analysis of variability and uncertainty in wind power forecasting : an international comparison : preprint
Title
Analysis of variability and uncertainty in wind power forecasting
Title remainder
an international comparison : preprint
Statement of responsibility
J. Zhang [and ten others]
Creator
Contributor
Author
Issuing body
Subject
Genre
Language
eng
Summary
One of the critical challenges of wind power integration is the variable and uncertain nature of the resource. This paper investigates the variability and uncertainty in wind forecasting for multiple power systems in six countries. An extensive comparison of wind forecasting is performed among the six power systems by analyzing the following scenarios: (i) wind forecast errors throughout a year; (ii) forecast errors at a specific time of day throughout a year; (iii) forecast errors at peak and off-peak hours of a day; (iv) forecast errors in different seasons; (v) extreme forecasts with large overforecast or underforecast errors; and (vi) forecast errors when wind power generation is at different percentages of the total wind capacity. The kernel density estimation method is adopted to characterize the distribution of forecast errors. The results show that the level of uncertainty and the forecast error distribution vary among different power systems and scenarios. In addition, for most power systems, (i) there is a tendency to underforecast in winter; and (ii) the forecasts in winter generally have more uncertainty than the forecasts in summer
Member of
Cataloging source
SOE
http://library.link/vocab/creatorName
Zhang, Jie
Government publication
federal national government publication
Illustrations
illustrations
Index
no index present
Literary form
non fiction
Nature of contents
  • dictionaries
  • bibliography
http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorDate
2013
http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorName
  • National Renewable Energy Laboratory (U.S.)
  • Annual International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as Well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Power Plants
Series statement
NREL/CP
Series volume
5D00-60228
http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
  • Wind power
  • Wind power plants
Label
Analysis of variability and uncertainty in wind power forecasting : an international comparison : preprint, J. Zhang [and ten others]
Link
http://purl.fdlp.gov/GPO/gpo77253
Instantiates
Publication
Note
  • "October 2013."
  • "To be presented at the 12th International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Power Plants, London, England, October 22-24, 2013."
  • Title from title screen (viewed on Apr. 14, 2014)
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (pages 6-7)
Carrier category
online resource
Carrier category code
cr
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Color
multicolored
Content category
text
Content type code
txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Control code
ocn876624578
Dimensions
unknown
Extent
1 online resource (7 pages)
Form of item
online
Media category
computer
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
c
Other physical details
color illustrations.
Specific material designation
remote
System control number
(OCoLC)876624578
Label
Analysis of variability and uncertainty in wind power forecasting : an international comparison : preprint, J. Zhang [and ten others]
Link
http://purl.fdlp.gov/GPO/gpo77253
Publication
Note
  • "October 2013."
  • "To be presented at the 12th International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Power Plants, London, England, October 22-24, 2013."
  • Title from title screen (viewed on Apr. 14, 2014)
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (pages 6-7)
Carrier category
online resource
Carrier category code
cr
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Color
multicolored
Content category
text
Content type code
txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Control code
ocn876624578
Dimensions
unknown
Extent
1 online resource (7 pages)
Form of item
online
Media category
computer
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
c
Other physical details
color illustrations.
Specific material designation
remote
System control number
(OCoLC)876624578

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